7th
June 2008
Convergent Development for Devon
An area of continuous
convergence is likely to cause problems for South Devon, with thundery cells
developing continuously over the higher ground of Dartmoor. Local flooding
possible. Potential showers are also likely in South Wales.
31st
May 2008
Heavy rain for the south granted
A series of fronts and
upper-level systems from the neighbouring continent have, as forecast,
brought heavy rain and a few thunderstorms to the south of the country
causing flooding in many parts. Thunderstorms have been mainly confined to
the far east coast and the south west, and not as widespread as originally
thought. The unusually long period of continental weather is caused by a
stationary jet feeding in the warm and moist/humid air from Central Europe
and the Med. These conditions are set to continue for a few more days before
finally breaking down into a more usual westerly flow of weather.
24th
May 2008
Thunderstorms for the south on their way
As a warm low builds strength
over France and becomes stationary it poses a significant threat to much of
the south of England and midlands over the next 4-5 days with torrential
persistent rainfall and substantial embedded thunderstorms. Keep an eye out
as the weather develops and pushes into the southern counties over tonight
and tomorrow.
27th
April 2008
Large Thunderstorms develop in the warm April weather
A warm plume of air from Biscay
gave much of the UK a warm weekend, however as the rule goes, 2 warm days
and a thunderstorm. A very much under-forecast line of torrential
thunderstorms has developed this evening across the central Midlands in a
line from Nottingham to Gloucester. These storms show signs of moving
eastwards and slightly north in the next few hours as the warm air is lifted
by a cold front.
17th February 2008
Glorious sunshine continues
A spell of low cloud across much
of the country has now cleared leaving the blocking-high to continue it's
business of giving glorious unbroken sunshine across the UK. Although air
temperatures aren't spectacular and nights are cold, it is fairing up to be
another warm month for 2008! See Wetterzentrale Met Office analysis archive:
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/archive/2008/brack/bracka20080217.gif
12th February 2008
Mild start to 2008 continues with glorious sunshine
After a bit of a cold snap at
the beginning on Feb 2008 bringing snow to much of the north and central UK,
we have picked up a tropical continental air-stream from a blocking high,
bringing with it some of the most glorious winter sunshine seen in a while
countrywide. And it's not just the dry weather, the temperatures have been
climbing into double figures with London reaching 15-16C during the
afternoon of Sunday 10th. The air-stream is set to continue, however a
hiccup is expected around the 14th where a pool of stratus cloud trapped
under the inversion is set to invade from the east.
1st February 2008
Mild start to 2008 in the UK
Piers Corbyn was amazingly
incorrect this time about his alleged forecast of winter storms during Jan 2008.
Instead it turned
out to be one of the mildest on record with the jet stream sitting in just
the right place to bring a continuous stream of tropical maritime air over
the UK (which unfortunately brought with it a few active fronts)!
10th September 2007
Persistent High Pressure
There has been a large
blocking-anticyclone in the east Atlantic for around 3 weeks now. It has
been positioned in the wrong place however for good weather in the UK,
dragging down cool moist air from the northwest seas bringing with it a lot
of fog and cloud. Persistence looks set for the next week at least however
the anticyclone looks to be nudging eastwards into a better position for the
UK. Hopefully looking at some warm cloudless days especially for the SW of
England before the summer is truly over.
23rd July 2007
It's NOT GLOBAL WARMING!!
As the rivers predictably
continue to burst their banks in parts of the south, everyone has started to
blaming it on global warming, the latest bandwagon to blame the weather on. As the
British are never satisfied with whatever the weather's doing, global warming
continuously gets the blame for everything extreme. However this flooding is
just a result of weather patterns and the fact that a regular active front
just hasn't moved over 24 hours. The jet stream this year is on average
further south than usual causing weather systems to rope their way
over much of Europe throughout the summer instead of drive over the top. An article on the BBC website,
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/magazine/6911918.stm
lays it on the line.
20th July 2007
Major flooding affects Wales and the South of England
Major flooding has affected many parts of
England and Wales today due to an active pivoting (non moving) low-pressure
centre over the south of England. This system was only 24 hours old and has
spawned out of the neighbouring continent to bring misery and transport
chaos. The hook of the low pressure span directly over
Berkshire subjecting what lied beneath to half a day of torrential
downpours. Parts of the M4 were completely submerged in water and the
Thames/River Severn are under serious pressure to discharge two months worth
of rain all at once over the next few days. This event was caused by
unfortunate (but well predicted) natural weather patterns, not global
warming (before anyone says!).